基于CMIP5模式的中国气候变化敏感性预估与分析   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

梁玉莲  韩明臣  延晓冬  赖雨薇 《气象科学》2016,36(2):158-164

以CMIP5提供的26个全球气候系统模式的温度和降水数据为基础,采用区域气候变化指数(Regional Climate Change Index,RCCI)分析中国的不同区域对21世纪气候变化响应的敏感性。结果表明,三种排放情景(RCP 2.6、RCP 4.5、RCP 8.5)下,21世纪全期,气候变化最敏感的区域分布在西藏地区,其次为我国西北地区以及东北地区,气候变化敏感性最低的区域分布在我国内蒙古中东部、华北地区以及长江中下游一带,且高排放情景对应更高的气候变化敏感性。对RCCI指数贡献因子分析结果表明,对中国气候变化敏感性贡献的大小依次为Δσ_TΔσ_pΔRRWAF。冬夏两季温度变化的大值区与RCCI指数的大致区分布一致,RCCI大小的分布很大程度上由温度变化的敏感性决定。而夏季降水变化的大值区主要出现在西藏地区、华南地区和东北地区,冬季降水变化的大值区则主要出现在黄河以南长江以北的中原地区以及东北地区。  相似文献   

Technique for Controlling Spread of Limnotic Oncomelania   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李大美  王祥三  LAI Yonggen 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2003,21(3):251-260

Schistosomiasis is a parasitic disease mostly found in areas along the Changjiang River of China. The disease is spread solely through an intermediary named oncomelania, so its spread of schistosomiasis can be controlled by properly designing water intakes which prevent oncomelania from entering farming land or residential areas. This paper reports a successful design process and a new oncomelania-free intake device. The design of the new intake is based on a sound research program in which extensive experimental studies were carried out to gain knowledge of oncomelania eco-hydraulic behavior and detailed flow field information through CFD simulation.  相似文献   

Major human Hepatitis A virus genotype in Hong Kong marine waters and detection by real-time PCR     

Yang N  Chu DL  Wong MM  Qi H  Wu RS  Kong RY 《Marine pollution bulletin》2011,62(12):2654-2658

Marine waters from seven sites around Hong Kong with varying levels of sewage pollution were analyzed for Hepatitis A virus (HAV) by PCR cloning and DNA sequencing of the highly variable VP1/2A junction of the HAV genome. Phylogenetic analysis of 10 PCR clones from each of the HAV-positive marine sites indicated that human HAV genotype IB is the most widely distributed type in Hong Kong waters. A sensitive and quantitative TaqMan-based PCR method targeting the 5′-noncoding region (5′-NCR) of HAV was used to quantify HAV particles in marine water samples along with the total Escherichiacoli counts being enumerated on TBX medium for comparison. Our results showed that no correlation of any significance between HAV and E. coli counts was observed which underscores the inadequacy in using E. coli as a sanitary standard to predict the levels of HAV in marine waters.  相似文献   

福建省冬季暴雨过程及其环流特征   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

何芬  赖绍钧  池艳珍  鲍瑞娟  许金镜  温珍治 《气象科技》2010,38(3):306-310

利用福建省66个气象观测站1960年12月至2008年2月的暴雨资料,分析了福建冬季暴雨的时空特征及主要影响天气系统。结果表明,冬季暴雨主要发生在闽西;福建冬季暴雨主要是南支槽东移、切变线维持和冷空气南下影响所致;冬季暴雨的产生与充沛的水汽、对流不稳定和辐合上升运动密切相关,但大气层结比汛期暴雨要稳定得多;冬季暴雨异常与500 hPa大气环流和赤道中东太平洋海温异常关系密切,它们可能主要通过大气环流的改变引起福建冬季暴雨异常。  相似文献   

G856磁力仪在地磁台站建设中的应用与实践方法     

赖加成  游永平  倪晓寅 《福建地震》2006,(Z1)

本文通过泉州地磁台重建工程中的工作实践,阐述了应用G856磁力仪在建筑材料磁性检测、施工过程中磁性跟踪监测的实践方法。  相似文献   

四川筠连地质遗迹景观资源特征及保护开发建议     

李芳  刘玲  李佳  徐涞 《四川地质学报》2007,27(3):205-207

筠连地质遗迹景观区具有丰富的泉类、岩溶峰丛地貌等景观。其中尤以间歇潮涌泉、洞内泉类钙化沉积边石坝、石莲花地质遗迹景观最具特色。这些地质景观资源具有重要的科学考察意义和旅游观赏价值,其他配套旅游资源及开发条件良好。细述了各个景观资源的特征,提出了建设筠连地质公园的构想和开发保护的建议。  相似文献   

辽东湾辽东带中南部古近纪古地貌恢复和演化及其对沉积体系的控制   总被引：16，自引：0，他引：16  

加东辉  徐长贵  杨波  杨香华  吴小红  周心怀  滕玉波  赖维成 《古地理学报》2007,9(2):155-166

采用井-震联合地层恢复法，对辽东湾辽东带中南部的古近纪进行了古地貌恢复。在此基础上拓宽了坡折带研究，将古地貌（包括古坡折带、古沟谷、古凸起等）纳入古物源供给系统的框架内探讨其对沉积体系的控制作用。分析表明：在构建完整物源供给系统的前提下，古地貌诸单元及其组合样式对沉积体系有着明显的控制作用。主要表现为：不同级次的物源体系导致沉积体类型和规模存在差异；物源区沟谷的分布及其赋存时期制约着砂体的主要分布位置、时期及规模；坡折带样式决定砂体的类型、规模及分布；古地貌组合样式控制储集体的成因、富集位置和规模大小。因此，古地貌分析对储层的预测和识别具有明显的指导作用。勘探实践证明，将其与常规储层预测方法联用，能够很大程度地提高储层预测的精度。  相似文献   

闽中北前汛期多普勒雷达定量估测降水分析   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

陈秋萍  余建华  杨林增  李建通  林文卿  赖荣钦  祖基煊 《气象》2006,32(4):56-61

使用2002、2003年福建中北部27个气象站5—6月自记雨量资料及相应的雷达体扫资料，通过用最优化法统计得出不同区域的Z-I关系，并将统计结果用于2005年5—6月的降水估测。同时利用实时雨量资料采用卡尔曼最优（卡尔曼滤波＋最优插值）、变分等估测方法对2005年几次混合型降水过程进行实时雨量校正，用福建北部武夷山九曲溪流域雨量计检验校正后的雨量值，并对上述几种方法的测量精度进行比较、分析。结果表明：卡尔曼最优、变分法及100km距离范围内的最优化法的过程平均相对误差小于25％，100km距离范围以外最优化法的过程平均相对误差明显增大，Z=300I^1,4估测的误差最大。  相似文献   

Collision leading to multiple-stage large-scale extrusion in the Qinling orogen: Insights from the Mianlue suture   总被引：10，自引：5，他引：10  

Sanzhong Li  Timothy M. Kusky  Lu Wang  Guowei Zhang  Shaocong Lai  Xiaochun Liu  Shuwen Dong  Guochun Zhao 《Gondwana Research》2007,12(1-2):121

The geologic framework of the Phanerozoic Qinling–Dabie orogen was built up through two major suturing events of three blocks. From north to south these include the North China craton (including the north Qinling block), the Qinling–Dabie microblock, and the South China craton (including the Bikou block), separated by the Shangdan and Mianlue sutures. The Mianlue suture zone contains evidence for Mesozoic extrusion tectonics in the form of major strike–slip border faults surrounding basement blocks, a Late Paleozoic ophiolite and a ca. 240–200 Ma thrust belt that reformed by 200–150 Ma thrusts during A-type (intracontinental) subduction. The regional map pattern shows that the blocks are surrounded by complexly deformed Devonian to Early Triassic metasandstones and metapelites, forming a regional-scale block-in-matrix mélange fabric. Five distinct tectonic units have been recognized in the belt: (1) basement blocks including two types of Precambrian basement, crystalline and transitional; (2) continental margin slices including Early Paleozoic strata, and Late Paleozoic fluviodeltaic sedimentary rocks, proximal and distal fan clastics, reflecting the development of a north-facing rift margin on the edge of the South China plate; (3) out of sequence oceanic crustal slices including strongly deformed postrift, deep-water sedimentary rocks, sheeted dikes, basalts, and mafic–ultramafic cumulates of a Late Paleozoic ophiolite suite, developing independent of the rift margin in a separate basin; (4) out-of-sequence island-arc slices; (5) accretionary wedge slices. All the tectonic units were deformed during three geometrically distinct deformation episodes (D₁, D₂ and D₃ during 240–200 Ma). Units 2–4 involved southward thrusting and vertical then southward extrusion of about 20 km of horizontal displacement above the autochthonous basement during the D₁ episode. Thrust slices 20 km south of the Mianlue suture are related to this vertical extrusion due to the same rock assemblages, ages and kinematics. The D₂ and D₃ episodes folded all the units in a thick-skinned style about east–west (D₂) and west–northwest (D₃) axes in the Mianlue suture zone. An early foreland propagating sequence of accretion of Late Paleozoic rocks deposited above the Yangtze craton is not involved in D₁ deformation but is temporally equivalent to the D₂ and D₃ deformation in the Mianlue suture. Two stages of strike–slip faulting mainly occurred at the end of D₂ and D₃, respectively. During D₂ deformation, the Bikou block was obliquely indented to the ESE into the Mianlue suture, rather than being thrust over the Mianlue suture from the north as a part of the Qinling–Dabie microblock. During D₃ deformation, however, the Bikou block was bounded by the south boundary fault of the Mianlue suture, and the Yangpingguan fault on the south. These faults are coeval strike–slip faults, but of opposite senses, and accommodated minor southwestward extrusion of the Bikou block into Songpan–Ganze orogen. The other basement blocks north of the Mianlue suture were extruded eastward by about 20 km of lateral displacement, based on the offset of the Wudang dome, during the D₃ episode due to the northeastward indentation of the Hannan complex of the South China craton. Post-D₃ emplacement of granite, cutting across the strike–slip faults such as the Mianlue suture, provides a minimum age of 200 Ma for D₃ deformation. Therefore, based on insights from the evolution of the Mianlue suture, the D₂ and D₃ episodes in the Mianlue suture and its neighbors are not responsible for and associated with the two-stage extrusion of the Dabie UHP-HP terranes from the Foping dome to the present erosional surface (more than 350 km).  相似文献   

预应力混凝土连续梁桥振动特性变异及舒适度评价   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

宗周红  赖苍林  夏樟华 《地震工程与工程振动》2006,26(1):71-77

由于预应力损失、混凝土收缩徐变、超载等原因,预应力混凝土桥梁出现了较强的振动。本文通过对福建省福州市闽江三桥全桥环境振动试验和正常运营条件下24小时的监测,研究预应力混凝土连续梁桥的动力特性及其变异和振动舒适度,结果表明:在较为稳定的风和温湿度环境下,固有频率在一天内的最大变化为3.06%,模态阻尼比的最大变化为37.93%,舒适度的狄克曼指标降到“能忍受短时间振动”的区域。  相似文献